Wall Street Journal, 01052023, Opinion Pages, Steven Koonin (NYU Professor)
National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NOAA) has predicted the rise of New York water levels by a foot by 2050. History (data, as good as it is) has shown that the water has risen by 3.5 inches every 30 years. Somehow, NOAA has been able to ignore history and predict using a very complex set of variables to predict this dire outcome. Land sinking, glaciers, ocean expansion, winds, currents, groundwater use, and salt content make for a very complex model in which the NOAA is so confident. Talk to people who build complex projection models for business, etc.; at best, it is a very imprecise exercise. We still can’t predict earthquakes inspite of years of trying. Look at the graph below and explain the science that gets to this prediction. I suspect it has more to do with their ideology and the need to keep scaring the uneducated to fill the coffers and maintain jobs. Your pick?
If true, these models always leave out the ingenuity of Americans and their ability to counter any of these rising sea levels with dikes, pumps, etc.
One foot rise in 28 years is a trivial problem. I have it on good authority from Jimmy Carter that we're going to be out of oil by 2011, this from his September 1976 debate with Gerald Ford.
remember being made aware of Holland's system of dikes an windmills keeping the sea out of the tulip fields. Today schools still teach our kids about dykes and two lips. . .
One foot rise in 28 years is a trivial problem. I have it on good authority from Jimmy Carter that we're going to be out of oil by 2011, this from his September 1976 debate with Gerald Ford.
Remember it well, Uk to be in permanent deep freeze by year 2000.
The NOAA should be the NOABSA!!
remember being made aware of Holland's system of dikes an windmills keeping the sea out of the tulip fields. Today schools still teach our kids about dykes and two lips. . .